Winter Storm Likely on Wednesday

The timing couldn’t be worse – a nor’easter on the busiest travel day of the year. The question now is how close to the coast will it track and how much snow will we see.

It’s a juicy storm with origins in the Gulf of Mexico. Both the European model and GFS model show a substantial storm nearby.

ecmwf_apcp_f90_ne

gfsNE_prec_prec_081

The European solution – with a strong storm hugging the coast is the solution is the one I think is most likely to verify. About half of the European ensemble members show a low track just south of Long Island.

The Euro scenario would be snow to sleet to rain (maybe freezing rain in the northwest hills?) while the GFS would be mainly snow. The Euro solution – with its ensemble support – is not a blockbuster snowstorm for Connecticut but it would be a royal pain for the day before Thanksgiving.

At the very least plan for an ugly day of travel on Wednesday.

Advertisements

One thought on “Winter Storm Likely on Wednesday

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s