Irene may be undergoing rapid intensification tonight as Irene’s eye is becoming much better defined with deep convection wrapping around the center. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane found the pressure had dropped to 945mb signifying a strengthening storm. It is possible that Irene becomes a category 4 hurricane tomorrow.
The 00z early cycle tropical models also shifted east a bit as I expected they would. The far west track models like the Euro have been showing (over Philadelphia) seem less likely to verify now. That increases the threat of a direct Connecticut hit though there is also the chance the eye passes just east of the state. I’m targeting the area between Bridgeport, CT and Newport, RI as a likely landfall location. Exact impacts in your town will depend on the exact track Irene takes. For more specific threat please refer to this blog post.
Tomorrow morning I’ll be on the radio from 8:00 to 9:00 on Kiss 95.7 and Country 92.5. Be sure to tune in for more details and I also hope to get a blog post up following the 5 a.m. NHC advisory. Stay safe and prepare immediately!