Weekend Storm Threat

72 Hour 18z GFS Forecast (Valid 18z Friday)

Here we go again. Another week and another threat for snow. This threat appears to be a bit less than the previous two.  The big question with this storm is where does a big upper level low track. See the big low (closed black circle) near Buffalo?  That low’s position will determine how much snow we see. If the low winds up south of Connecticut then there’s the potential for a major snowstorm. Yesterday some of our computer models said this was a distinct possibility. Now, however, most models indicate that the low will remain west or even just over us which would prevent a big storm from dumping snow on us.

At this point it appears a couple inches of snow is a good possibility as weak low pressure forms offshore. The big storm will remain east and north of us and spare us from a major nor’easter. We’re still over 72 hours out from the main event so things could change but the odds of a blockbuster (>12″) storm are pretty low at this point. A light to moderate event is more likely. Don’t be surprised if some parts of Connecticut see a 3″-6″ or 4″-8″ kind of event Friday into Saturday.

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